Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +10.7% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -5.6% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +17.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +13.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +15.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14.38% | 9.61% | 20.53% | 2.29% | -9.61% | -11.16% | 2.53% | 10.13% | -2.47% | 18.71% | ||
| 2025 | 12.49% | 7.56% | 5.31% | -14.33% | 8.61% | 11.79% | 3.68% | 10.35% | -8.91% | -4.05% | 18.00% | -5.55% |
| 2024 | -5.77% | -3.84% | 12.32% | 6.04% | 6.99% | -0.60% | 10.06% | 2.66% | -21.91% | -0.81% | 0.19% | 5.92% |
| 2023 | -6.82% | -4.04% | -5.74% | 1.93% | -13.68% | -4.99% | 13.73% | 2.67% | 2.05% | 12.06% | 13.87% | -4.42% |
| 2022 | 17.40% | 9.52% | 31.24% | 3.02% | 9.76% | -8.90% | 27.34% | -17.38% | -15.78% | 24.79% | 13.10% | 0.20% |
| 2021 | 8.54% | 31.48% | 3.49% | 4.10% | 19.91% | 11.00% | 5.22% | -8.93% | 17.06% | 8.37% | -9.59% | 11.87% |
| 2020 | -5.94% | -63.88% | 35.63% | -5.07% | 18.93% | 5.31% | 5.04% | -9.23% | -15.45% | 28.85% | 4.85% | |
| Avg | 6.70% | 6.34% | 0.47% | 5.52% | 2.42% | 2.30% | 9.69% | 0.65% | -5.60% | 4.15% | 10.74% | 2.14% |
IPCO.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
IPCO.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
IPCO.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
IPCO.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes