Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.9% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Apr shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Apr averages -4.1% with only a 0% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +13.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +4.1% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -3.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
HLF.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.73% | 4.71% | -7.65% | -7.28% | 6.84% | 1.62% | -0.20% | 2.17% | -6.49% | 8.49% | ||
| 2025 | 0.19% | 4.63% | 3.07% | -0.76% | 7.21% | 0.67% | -6.46% | -3.59% | 5.63% | -0.64% | -20.05% | 10.57% |
| 2024 | -1.69% | 11.81% | 5.53% | -1.77% | 1.23% | 0.53% | -1.34% | 2.57% | -6.42% | 4.23% | 19.22% | 3.63% |
| 2023 | 4.94% | 3.11% | 3.79% | -4.96% | 0.19% | -3.87% | 1.29% | -14.98% | -7.17% | -3.91% | 4.47% | 8.54% |
| 2022 | -5.43% | -7.80% | 5.74% | -12.46% | 2.01% | -0.41% | -0.67% | 13.24% | -3.13% | 0.85% | 9.63% | -3.37% |
| 2021 | 6.22% | 12.47% | 1.88% | -0.82% | 0.30% | 2.18% | -3.46% | 1.53% | -0.98% | 0.23% | 6.54% | 7.19% |
| 2020 | -10.88% | -12.17% | -0.78% | 5.66% | -13.30% | -4.48% | 48.00% | 4.54% | -0.47% | 39.74% | -5.77% | |
| Avg | 1.49% | 2.58% | 0.03% | -4.12% | 3.35% | -1.80% | -2.19% | 6.99% | -2.00% | 0.05% | 9.92% | 3.47% |
HLF.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
HLF.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
HLF.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes