Seasonality
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Seasonality
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GRGD.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
2 years of data
Sep is the seasonally strongest month over 2Y.
Sep averages +27.5% with a 50% win rate across 2 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -15.6% with only a 0% win rate across 2 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +52.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -17.7% historically, with January alone posting a 0% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 2Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -76.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -14.26% | 25.24% | -13.72% | 15.88% | -15.50% | -28.60% | 5.73% | 11.76% | -14.56% | 8.86% | ||
| 2025 | -16.97% | -4.33% | -11.26% | -2.99% | 24.06% | 59.09% | 28.99% | 4.08% | 69.47% | 14.05% | 8.65% | 14.95% |
| 2024 | -3.95% | |||||||||||
| Avg | -15.61% | 10.45% | -12.49% | 6.44% | 4.28% | 15.24% | 17.36% | 7.92% | 27.45% | 14.05% | 8.65% | 5.50% |
GRGD.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 2 years
GRGD.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2024 to 2026
GRGD.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes