Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.0% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -11.5% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +3.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -5.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is -45.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
GOOS.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.14% | 1.69% | -9.05% | 1.24% | -8.47% | -5.16% | -6.70% | -8.62% | -3.06% | 1.89% | ||
| 2025 | 10.25% | -7.10% | -22.85% | 1.14% | 43.85% | -8.25% | -0.53% | 17.49% | 7.64% | 1.93% | -0.05% | -8.86% |
| 2024 | 2.41% | 14.70% | -11.68% | -4.84% | 26.77% | -10.20% | -9.95% | -1.07% | 7.49% | -19.13% | -2.63% | 8.25% |
| 2023 | 33.64% | -20.29% | 1.33% | 2.19% | -18.64% | 9.12% | 2.04% | -11.55% | -6.39% | -22.79% | -2.15% | 4.58% |
| 2022 | -16.81% | -14.92% | -0.99% | -14.76% | -9.29% | -8.58% | 8.10% | -5.74% | -11.16% | 6.04% | 13.06% | -4.44% |
| 2021 | 13.03% | 33.36% | -13.52% | 5.29% | -6.85% | 11.99% | -2.25% | -8.61% | -6.55% | 1.48% | 24.12% | -17.71% |
| 2020 | -6.66% | -23.95% | 18.12% | -19.19% | 17.35% | -5.43% | 7.31% | 33.70% | -2.85% | 3.95% | -12.39% | |
| Avg | 5.90% | 0.11% | -11.53% | 1.20% | 1.17% | 0.89% | -2.10% | -1.54% | 3.10% | -5.89% | 6.05% | -5.10% |
GOOS.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
GOOS.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
GOOS.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes