Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.5% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +12.9% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -4.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -41.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.12% | 5.09% | -16.32% | 8.82% | 0.23% | -13.07% | 6.13% | -6.43% | -16.13% | -6.51% | ||
| 2025 | 10.79% | 4.27% | -18.21% | -0.14% | 1.04% | 5.01% | 4.31% | 7.58% | 7.23% | 1.73% | -1.56% | 6.98% |
| 2024 | 1.32% | 6.44% | 7.02% | -5.07% | 9.89% | -0.48% | 8.34% | 9.78% | 3.65% | 7.04% | 2.57% | -2.80% |
| 2023 | 12.51% | 3.93% | 4.17% | -1.74% | -15.56% | 15.37% | -3.98% | -1.10% | -5.53% | 3.47% | 25.35% | -10.79% |
| 2022 | -5.65% | -1.66% | -5.32% | -7.17% | -7.95% | -7.00% | 1.30% | 4.06% | 0.54% | 10.09% | -8.85% | -4.80% |
| 2021 | -10.23% | 21.03% | -0.54% | 10.92% | 1.78% | 5.81% | -5.97% | 13.21% | -4.58% | -1.77% | 14.26% | 3.63% |
| 2020 | -11.34% | -44.42% | 8.25% | -1.65% | 10.10% | 13.03% | 6.39% | 3.76% | 5.18% | 23.04% | 4.80% | |
| Avg | 1.98% | 3.97% | -10.52% | 1.98% | -1.75% | 2.25% | 3.31% | 4.78% | -1.58% | 4.29% | 9.13% | -0.50% |
GIL.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
GIL.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
GIL.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
GIL.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes