Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.42% | 7.94% | -0.74% | 4.09% | -5.34% | -4.25% | 6.70% | 3.33% | -5.92% | 7.29% | ||
| 2025 | -1.57% | 1.52% | 1.82% | -9.75% | 6.29% | 6.98% | 4.99% | 0.97% | 3.65% | 3.63% | 5.64% | 2.55% |
| 2024 | 2.41% | -0.59% | 6.69% | -2.27% | 2.77% | -5.25% | 4.63% | -2.26% | 2.85% | -1.64% | 2.11% | -7.53% |
| 2023 | 2.15% | -3.18% | -5.56% | 2.14% | -4.50% | -3.35% | 4.31% | 3.88% | 2.84% | -2.25% | -1.82% | -1.08% |
| 2022 | 13.42% | 8.08% | 1.67% | 5.25% | 5.35% | -18.38% | 14.63% | -0.64% | 0.95% | 18.50% | -1.89% | -3.74% |
| 2021 | 5.56% | 26.26% | 5.51% | 11.46% | 12.67% | 8.65% | -10.24% | 8.93% | 10.47% | 14.22% | -7.54% | 7.63% |
| 2020 | -14.03% | -50.15% | 27.43% | -3.09% | -1.78% | 2.12% | 16.61% | -10.96% | 0.41% | 37.80% | 3.16% | |
| Avg | 5.06% | 3.71% | -5.82% | 5.48% | 2.02% | -2.48% | 3.88% | 4.40% | 0.56% | 5.48% | 5.72% | 0.16% |
FRU.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.7% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.8% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +11.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.0% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +2.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
FRU.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
FRU.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
FRU.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes