Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +19.4% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -3.2% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +17.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +9.3% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -45.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15.10% | 27.73% | -31.61% | -3.39% | 9.65% | -14.40% | -10.71% | 41.29% | -17.85% | -14.51% | ||
| 2025 | 8.73% | -7.33% | 15.63% | -18.57% | -1.40% | 36.11% | 4.62% | 22.22% | 27.04% | 5.69% | 19.27% | -6.04% |
| 2024 | -21.54% | -3.92% | 66.33% | 11.04% | 50.00% | -11.42% | 29.31% | -33.44% | 28.99% | 31.84% | -16.76% | -10.07% |
| 2023 | 5.71% | -13.61% | 30.50% | 1.15% | -18.75% | -10.26% | 21.04% | -17.38% | -13.77% | -10.24% | 0.00% | -12.75% |
| 2022 | -13.83% | 16.05% | 8.41% | -15.52% | -10.00% | -8.39% | 15.84% | -18.59% | 9.19% | 11.54% | -1.94% | -3.74% |
| 2021 | -1.40% | 18.30% | -17.07% | 4.18% | 40.43% | -16.59% | -13.31% | -9.88% | -12.48% | 20.23% | -2.72% | -11.86% |
| 2020 | -23.84% | -11.68% | 19.58% | 18.14% | 15.36% | 89.29% | -6.52% | -14.13% | -9.83% | 4.98% | 45.15% | |
| Avg | -1.20% | 1.91% | 8.64% | -0.22% | 12.58% | -1.37% | 19.44% | -3.18% | 1.00% | 8.20% | 0.47% | 0.11% |
EDR.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
EDR.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
EDR.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
EDR.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data