Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.37% | -2.08% | 5.32% | 1.05% | 1.25% | 2.15% | 2.11% | 3.72% | -1.43% | 6.25% | ||
| 2025 | -0.21% | 0.21% | -0.71% | 1.51% | -0.38% | 10.27% | -2.10% | -6.73% | 2.64% | -1.11% | 0.35% | 2.46% |
| 2024 | -3.41% | 4.43% | -5.32% | 0.80% | -4.65% | -0.23% | 2.83% | 0.00% | -1.41% | 0.00% | 1.44% | -1.42% |
| 2023 | -1.38% | 7.99% | 2.60% | 0.25% | 7.51% | -3.58% | 1.65% | -0.06% | -6.76% | -6.49% | 3.14% | 2.68% |
| 2022 | 10.41% | 0.97% | -6.31% | 0.46% | -12.50% | 16.09% | 5.10% | 7.04% | 3.11% | -7.37% | 7.23% | -2.30% |
| 2021 | 9.90% | 4.19% | 10.87% | -5.02% | 3.25% | 4.53% | -7.26% | -5.77% | 3.37% | -3.10% | 6.72% | -0.76% |
| 2020 | 2.87% | -12.88% | 2.65% | -2.15% | 1.98% | 3.26% | 6.68% | -0.99% | 3.00% | 2.22% | 6.81% | |
| Avg | 2.32% | 2.65% | -0.92% | 0.24% | -1.09% | 4.46% | 0.80% | 0.70% | -0.21% | -2.51% | 3.52% | 1.24% |
CVG.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Jun is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jun averages +4.5% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -2.5% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +4.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +4.1% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +6.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
CVG.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CVG.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CVG.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes