Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
CURA.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CURA.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Aug is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Aug averages +23.0% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -9.6% with only a 40% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +34.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -16.6% historically, with January alone posting a 20% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +16.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -11.73% | 5.98% | -5.96% | 59.00% | 1.68% | 5.22% | -18.94% | 7.98% | 9.10% | -24.56% | ||
| 2025 | -15.63% | 2.12% | -31.09% | 12.78% | -24.00% | 0.88% | 64.35% | 138.62% | -15.08% | 3.13% | -17.97% | 5.25% |
| 2024 | 27.59% | -7.82% | 11.73% | 18.78% | -26.74% | -16.67% | 4.38% | -28.65% | 5.37% | -2.18% | -33.25% | -16.73% |
| 2023 | -11.15% | -5.02% | -22.97% | -9.50% | 12.83% | 5.68% | 19.56% | 2.25% | 22.00% | -34.43% | 17.50% | 17.23% |
| 2022 | -18.50% | -3.58% | 2.82% | -16.76% | 3.03% | -16.86% | 9.22% | 16.74% | -17.47% | 7.30% | 22.18% | -35.08% |
| 2021 | 0.98% | -0.29% | -14.31% | 0.87% | 2.05% | -21.61% | 0.99% | -7.38% | ||||
| Avg | -5.88% | -1.67% | -9.09% | 12.86% | -5.37% | -3.67% | 10.71% | 22.97% | 1.00% | -9.56% | -2.11% | -7.34% |
CURA.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CURA.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes