Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +3.7% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -3.5% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +3.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.8% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +3.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.28% | 6.93% | -1.17% | 1.94% | 3.87% | 5.26% | 3.16% | -3.80% | 1.34% | -0.89% | ||
| 2025 | 2.87% | 14.97% | 2.74% | 1.67% | -9.99% | 4.22% | 4.12% | 0.48% | -3.05% | -2.35% | 9.50% | 0.07% |
| 2024 | -0.23% | 2.08% | -1.60% | 2.79% | 0.84% | -1.37% | 3.78% | -0.15% | -3.46% | 0.31% | 0.41% | -0.71% |
| 2023 | -0.49% | -3.57% | -0.32% | 0.71% | -8.70% | 1.36% | 7.89% | -0.52% | -3.82% | -8.79% | -4.75% | 5.83% |
| 2022 | 1.37% | 0.38% | 3.27% | 9.95% | -2.40% | -6.30% | 1.45% | 1.49% | 0.46% | -4.03% | 1.90% | -3.71% |
| 2021 | 0.30% | 0.64% | 4.27% | 3.13% | 0.78% | -0.17% | 3.11% | 2.31% | -3.86% | -1.27% | 0.23% | -4.93% |
| 2020 | 0.47% | 0.32% | 5.44% | 3.48% | -2.40% | -0.55% | -2.72% | 1.10% | -5.16% | 9.19% | 5.43% | |
| Avg | -0.41% | 3.13% | 1.07% | 3.66% | -1.73% | 0.09% | 3.28% | -0.42% | -1.61% | -3.55% | 2.75% | 0.33% |
CSW-A.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CSW-A.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CSW-A.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CSW-A.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes