Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -23.88% | 0.31% | -3.06% | 1.31% | 14.10% | -5.37% | 12.47% | 4.52% | -7.73% | 17.28% | ||
| 2025 | 6.93% | 4.92% | -8.59% | 9.02% | 0.15% | 0.38% | -4.26% | -4.81% | -16.95% | -2.30% | -8.37% | -2.35% |
| 2024 | 13.11% | 1.68% | -2.04% | -4.21% | 6.96% | 4.02% | 10.51% | 1.02% | 0.02% | -4.57% | 12.74% | -6.08% |
| 2023 | 11.20% | -0.20% | 8.30% | 4.42% | 4.38% | -0.79% | 1.50% | -0.38% | 1.08% | -0.86% | 14.65% | 3.12% |
| 2022 | -6.71% | -2.43% | 0.10% | -5.39% | -1.54% | -3.94% | 14.00% | -9.24% | -2.71% | 2.49% | 10.08% | -2.45% |
| 2021 | -5.76% | 5.77% | 6.59% | 2.79% | -4.83% | 9.43% | 6.45% | 6.99% | -2.90% | 4.82% | -0.06% | 8.03% |
| 2020 | -1.70% | -6.36% | 4.65% | 16.93% | -1.97% | 3.36% | -4.69% | -1.92% | -5.48% | 14.99% | 2.86% | |
| Avg | -0.85% | 1.19% | -0.72% | 1.80% | 5.17% | 0.25% | 6.29% | -0.94% | -4.45% | -0.98% | 7.34% | 0.52% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +7.3% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -4.4% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +7.2% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -11.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
CSU.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CSU.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CSU.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CSU.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes