Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +3.9% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -1.3% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.3% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +2.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.65% | 5.35% | -3.08% | 7.89% | -0.20% | 3.65% | 0.96% | -6.38% | -1.49% | 1.00% | ||
| 2025 | 2.31% | 5.61% | 1.45% | 2.91% | 2.02% | 0.91% | -2.80% | 5.11% | 0.70% | -0.42% | 3.72% | -0.42% |
| 2024 | -0.99% | 2.45% | -0.63% | -5.60% | -1.21% | 1.63% | 7.56% | 8.46% | 8.11% | -5.28% | -3.18% | -7.62% |
| 2023 | 4.63% | -1.79% | -5.16% | 1.67% | -6.80% | -3.81% | 2.37% | -3.71% | -5.81% | -1.87% | 6.36% | 7.72% |
| 2022 | -6.64% | 0.85% | 6.00% | -4.18% | -0.55% | -6.55% | 3.32% | -5.83% | -7.81% | 5.07% | 9.62% | -2.06% |
| 2021 | -0.25% | 3.12% | 8.79% | 3.94% | 4.00% | 5.09% | 3.86% | -1.07% | -3.47% | 6.75% | -6.80% | 9.01% |
| 2020 | -8.94% | -13.83% | 5.25% | 1.35% | -1.72% | 2.53% | 1.64% | 0.41% | -0.72% | 13.72% | -1.94% | |
| Avg | 0.28% | 0.95% | -0.92% | 1.70% | -0.20% | -0.11% | 2.54% | -0.25% | -1.34% | 0.59% | 3.91% | 0.78% |
CRR-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CRR-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CRR-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CRR-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes