Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.56% | 7.65% | -3.83% | 2.84% | 8.56% | -0.25% | 0.77% | 17.97% | 0.86% | -0.21% | ||
| 2025 | -5.54% | 8.06% | -12.20% | 0.00% | 5.41% | -4.40% | 4.98% | 29.93% | 8.15% | -8.31% | -2.83% | 4.96% |
| 2024 | -1.81% | 4.41% | 25.00% | 14.08% | -12.59% | -9.89% | 6.58% | -10.88% | -1.32% | -1.67% | -0.34% | -1.37% |
| 2023 | -2.33% | -11.90% | -12.16% | -3.08% | -4.76% | 8.75% | -1.15% | 6.20% | -1.09% | -7.75% | 10.40% | 0.36% |
| 2022 | -5.42% | -3.40% | 6.59% | -20.21% | -1.55% | -5.51% | 13.06% | -0.98% | -3.97% | 17.57% | -8.57% | -17.31% |
| 2021 | 49.32% | 0.76% | -10.68% | -15.57% | 2.19% | 4.20% | -13.76% | -9.45% | -14.27% | -10.21% | -9.81% | -13.99% |
| 2020 | -18.26% | 2.57% | 3.13% | 9.59% | -9.41% | 7.33% | -17.65% | -7.47% | 5.68% | 65.63% | -24.51% | |
| Avg | 4.78% | -1.81% | -0.67% | -2.69% | 0.98% | -2.36% | 2.54% | 2.16% | -2.73% | -0.78% | 9.08% | -8.64% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.1% with a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -8.6% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +2.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +2.3% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +36.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
CRON.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CRON.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CRON.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
CRON.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years