Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +13.3% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -9.1% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +17.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -6.6% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is +35.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.93% | 16.42% | -8.90% | 4.10% | 7.28% | -2.19% | 0.86% | 13.70% | 9.87% | -1.89% | ||
| 2025 | -8.36% | 1.35% | -6.33% | -1.64% | 12.02% | 7.09% | -1.57% | -7.30% | 10.73% | 2.98% | -4.53% | -2.67% |
| 2024 | -3.13% | -15.73% | -1.91% | 4.88% | 3.72% | 8.52% | 17.77% | -5.96% | 6.34% | 5.61% | 12.29% | -7.99% |
| 2023 | 11.11% | -12.78% | 2.23% | -7.48% | -1.35% | 3.41% | 5.94% | -16.20% | -12.64% | -11.49% | 6.25% | 15.84% |
| 2022 | 9.04% | 20.44% | -2.98% | -8.75% | 4.66% | -19.06% | -3.06% | -11.36% | -16.73% | 10.26% | 23.26% | 1.89% |
| 2021 | -11.89% | 28.83% | 8.33% | -4.62% | 11.75% | -2.06% | -3.16% | -9.35% | -9.83% | -4.26% | -3.61% | -4.32% |
| 2020 | -16.39% | -54.15% | 19.05% | -18.57% | 4.56% | -20.81% | 14.41% | -18.15% | 32.58% | 46.42% | -13.75% | |
| Avg | -0.69% | 3.17% | -9.10% | 0.79% | 2.79% | 0.04% | -0.57% | -3.15% | -4.34% | 5.95% | 13.35% | -1.83% |
CHR.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CHR.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CHR.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
CHR.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years