Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.1% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -1.4% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +1.3% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -0.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.33% | 4.49% | -2.74% | -1.46% | 4.94% | 4.16% | -1.92% | -4.11% | -2.26% | 0.40% | ||
| 2025 | -2.75% | 6.53% | 2.29% | 5.12% | 2.97% | -0.23% | -4.14% | 2.71% | 1.76% | 1.39% | 2.99% | -2.27% |
| 2024 | 1.09% | -4.18% | 3.39% | -5.06% | -1.97% | 1.60% | 8.43% | 6.81% | 3.08% | -5.87% | -0.96% | -4.05% |
| 2023 | 1.84% | -0.72% | -1.46% | 1.26% | -6.95% | 0.55% | 2.97% | -5.30% | -2.80% | -4.54% | 9.83% | 6.48% |
| 2022 | -4.07% | 0.50% | 7.11% | -1.60% | -0.25% | -6.41% | 2.02% | -4.34% | -6.90% | 4.46% | 13.02% | 0.63% |
| 2021 | -0.13% | -1.14% | 7.08% | 3.25% | 5.11% | -1.63% | 3.31% | 1.92% | -4.09% | 4.93% | -4.70% | 7.94% |
| 2020 | -7.13% | -3.94% | -1.85% | 3.11% | -1.13% | 0.01% | 0.56% | 1.21% | -5.39% | 10.65% | -2.04% | |
| Avg | -0.11% | -0.24% | 1.68% | -0.05% | 1.00% | -0.44% | 1.52% | -0.25% | -1.43% | -0.84% | 5.14% | 1.11% |
CHP-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CHP-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CHP-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CHP-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes