Seasonality
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Seasonality
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CCA.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.20% | 10.25% | -2.43% | -9.43% | 6.80% | -5.74% | -5.20% | 1.37% | -12.87% | 3.52% | ||
| 2025 | -7.84% | 7.56% | 6.71% | -2.03% | 1.92% | 2.82% | -10.94% | 3.03% | -0.50% | -0.16% | 8.59% | -2.68% |
| 2024 | 6.01% | -3.75% | 0.60% | -7.78% | -4.14% | -1.38% | 24.41% | 2.01% | 10.73% | -1.89% | 1.10% | -3.79% |
| 2023 | -9.43% | 1.89% | -6.02% | 0.95% | -2.33% | 10.23% | -4.39% | -0.16% | -5.74% | -13.12% | -3.05% | 13.94% |
| 2022 | 4.34% | -3.01% | 2.25% | 2.60% | -0.24% | -17.27% | -4.01% | -2.99% | -10.32% | -3.65% | 9.52% | 2.03% |
| 2021 | 12.03% | 5.58% | 2.55% | -0.52% | -0.63% | 4.47% | -2.02% | -1.79% | -2.97% | -5.57% | -7.49% | 3.18% |
| 2020 | 2.23% | -10.12% | 8.44% | -0.09% | -4.87% | 5.00% | -4.23% | 11.67% | -15.01% | 2.01% | 4.10% | |
| Avg | 0.88% | 2.96% | -0.92% | -1.11% | 0.19% | -1.68% | 0.41% | -0.40% | -1.43% | -6.57% | 1.78% | 2.80% |
Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Feb averages +3.0% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -6.6% with only a 0% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +2.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +2.9% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -16.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
CCA.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CCA.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CCA.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes