Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +7.6% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -6.8% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +6.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.0% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -19.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
BEI-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
BEI-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
BEI-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.99% | -4.82% | -3.51% | 8.07% | -5.36% | 1.26% | 2.55% | -5.33% | -1.42% | 1.33% | ||
| 2025 | -2.30% | 2.01% | 5.40% | -2.91% | 7.99% | 0.08% | 2.27% | -1.25% | -1.64% | -6.25% | -0.47% | 2.86% |
| 2024 | -2.02% | 9.06% | 2.86% | -9.08% | -0.53% | 0.33% | 10.84% | 10.80% | -0.60% | -15.46% | -1.08% | -9.84% |
| 2023 | 13.92% | 5.16% | -6.42% | 5.37% | 4.38% | 3.06% | 5.49% | 4.52% | -2.14% | -2.92% | 3.27% | 6.97% |
| 2022 | 2.18% | 1.07% | 4.31% | -3.96% | -10.86% | -16.33% | 16.84% | -0.92% | -3.84% | 4.99% | 2.99% | -0.64% |
| 2021 | 2.85% | 6.36% | -0.94% | 1.19% | 6.18% | 5.47% | 11.95% | 3.27% | 0.60% | 13.08% | -0.21% | 3.22% |
| 2020 | -3.40% | -49.50% | 16.42% | 10.12% | 2.05% | 3.37% | -1.00% | -8.95% | -2.13% | 29.62% | -2.33% | |
| Avg | 3.60% | 2.21% | -6.83% | 2.16% | 1.70% | -0.58% | 7.62% | 1.44% | -2.57% | -1.45% | 5.69% | 0.04% |
BEI-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data