Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +18.8% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -1.7% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +26.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +6.6% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -30.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.38% | 21.19% | -12.72% | 17.32% | 7.74% | 5.00% | 3.43% | -11.22% | 4.97% | 3.75% | ||
| 2025 | -12.99% | -1.65% | -3.19% | 12.52% | 5.40% | 23.53% | 36.19% | -0.63% | 21.47% | 0.48% | 18.43% | 0.61% |
| 2024 | -6.62% | -1.07% | 18.29% | 7.86% | 46.29% | -4.38% | 6.21% | -0.67% | 11.18% | -0.48% | -5.52% | 1.01% |
| 2023 | 22.96% | 5.94% | 8.36% | -20.68% | -8.03% | 21.35% | 1.06% | -16.48% | -14.08% | -6.06% | 5.33% | 13.55% |
| 2022 | 0.60% | -6.51% | -8.86% | -12.50% | -5.56% | -35.06% | 10.82% | 52.64% | -24.33% | 61.79% | 18.45% | 10.30% |
| 2021 | 27.08% | -8.20% | 73.21% | -5.15% | 6.52% | 19.39% | 27.35% | 23.49% | 17.39% | -7.87% | -13.07% | -2.89% |
| 2020 | -21.95% | -52.60% | 7.69% | -9.18% | -5.62% | 10.71% | -11.83% | -19.51% | -15.15% | 89.29% | -9.43% | |
| Avg | 5.11% | -1.75% | 3.21% | 1.01% | 6.17% | 3.46% | 13.68% | 5.04% | -0.41% | 5.45% | 18.82% | 2.19% |
BBD-B.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
BBD-B.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
BBD-B.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
BBD-B.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes