Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.37% | -4.54% | -2.59% | 62.97% | 68.16% | 44.90% | -33.39% | -5.03% | 13.33% | -2.96% | ||
| 2025 | 17.58% | 6.23% | -20.53% | -13.65% | 16.24% | 15.07% | -18.53% | 3.33% | 28.84% | 0.88% | -16.79% | -9.12% |
| 2024 | -19.79% | 0.80% | -2.37% | 3.77% | -1.30% | -10.00% | -2.63% | -4.80% | 12.30% | -11.52% | 16.83% | 48.37% |
| 2023 | 28.80% | -6.69% | 16.98% | -14.84% | 38.07% | 0.69% | -8.58% | 12.37% | -14.72% | -22.39% | -0.20% | -5.62% |
| 2022 | -11.51% | -16.83% | 6.55% | -20.71% | 3.67% | -8.92% | 13.40% | -0.89% | -16.54% | -2.77% | 3.00% | -32.36% |
| 2021 | 112.80% | -28.34% | -18.10% | 3.13% | 14.08% | 22.18% | -16.17% | 13.23% | -14.26% | 8.43% | -8.98% | -2.88% |
| 2020 | -14.02% | -16.74% | 2.95% | 7.74% | 3.44% | -4.08% | 7.09% | -10.15% | -2.13% | 27.93% | 10.33% | |
| Avg | 20.25% | -9.06% | -5.26% | 3.37% | 20.95% | 9.62% | -10.00% | 3.61% | -0.17% | -4.91% | 3.63% | 1.45% |
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +21.0% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jul shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jul averages -10.0% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +33.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +5.9% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +133.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
BB.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
BB.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
BB.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
BB.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes