Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +9.7% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -8.9% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +22.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.1% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +15.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -8.54% | 12.53% | -6.01% | 26.29% | 7.97% | 1.03% | -10.68% | -5.45% | -9.23% | 29.42% | ||
| 2025 | 30.80% | -4.66% | -24.10% | -4.13% | 37.35% | 5.93% | 5.41% | 10.56% | 2.38% | 16.38% | 12.79% | 6.20% |
| 2024 | 18.95% | 9.72% | 4.21% | -4.71% | -4.46% | 13.72% | 17.05% | 1.72% | 10.26% | -11.80% | 4.04% | 14.58% |
| 2023 | 1.35% | -13.44% | 4.41% | -0.71% | -19.25% | 5.78% | -31.78% | -1.16% | -4.72% | -8.72% | 22.02% | 4.48% |
| 2022 | 12.65% | -18.28% | 5.89% | -10.35% | -19.30% | -5.61% | 15.93% | 5.74% | 6.25% | 16.41% | -3.16% | -7.47% |
| 2021 | 3.14% | 12.74% | -2.63% | 5.03% | -3.85% | 25.74% | -1.32% | 12.68% | -2.21% | 20.88% | 3.86% | 3.42% |
| 2020 | -11.63% | -44.35% | 34.61% | 9.47% | 4.80% | -6.73% | 5.36% | -6.69% | 15.43% | 15.95% | 10.54% | |
| Avg | 9.72% | -1.86% | -8.94% | 6.58% | 1.13% | 7.34% | -1.73% | 4.21% | -0.56% | 8.10% | 9.25% | 5.29% |
ATZ.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ATZ.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ATZ.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ATZ.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes