Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.86% | -1.06% | -5.32% | 4.73% | -11.68% | 6.43% | -1.35% | -3.30% | 3.12% | -1.62% | ||
| 2025 | -4.51% | -0.05% | -6.03% | -0.15% | 31.86% | 6.12% | 2.72% | -3.72% | 6.35% | -1.52% | -12.29% | 2.16% |
| 2024 | 4.52% | 2.87% | 20.82% | -4.58% | 0.95% | 11.02% | 0.44% | -11.23% | 4.11% | 21.93% | 13.49% | 0.32% |
| 2023 | 19.66% | -1.09% | 17.71% | -6.08% | 1.66% | 9.62% | 10.24% | 14.98% | 2.91% | -14.99% | 9.24% | 1.43% |
| 2022 | -9.32% | 1.82% | 5.54% | -5.08% | -11.24% | -12.63% | 8.13% | 6.22% | -9.48% | 2.57% | 2.97% | -1.69% |
| 2021 | -2.58% | 20.93% | 5.15% | 2.19% | 19.97% | -2.15% | 2.95% | 2.95% | 2.99% | -5.37% | -7.18% | 0.10% |
| 2020 | 2.50% | -33.41% | 23.65% | -18.58% | 9.72% | -7.25% | 8.70% | -7.50% | -12.69% | 28.02% | -8.85% | |
| Avg | 2.61% | 3.70% | 0.64% | 2.10% | 1.85% | 4.02% | 2.27% | 2.09% | 0.36% | -1.68% | 5.71% | -1.09% |
ATRL.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.7% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -1.7% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +8.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +6.9% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -35.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
ATRL.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ATRL.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ATRL.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes