Seasonality
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Seasonality
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AQN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
AQN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
AQN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +3.7% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -5.9% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +7.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -16.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.92% | 6.71% | -9.75% | 0.00% | -4.23% | 3.33% | -1.68% | -4.27% | -7.72% | 5.59% | ||
| 2025 | 1.41% | 6.80% | 8.30% | 0.54% | 1.21% | 4.78% | 4.88% | -2.57% | -4.88% | 4.68% | 9.20% | -0.24% |
| 2024 | -4.67% | -0.50% | 9.92% | -1.75% | 1.90% | -4.45% | 7.21% | -15.20% | 2.32% | -8.93% | 3.27% | -6.85% |
| 2023 | 9.98% | 7.42% | 10.28% | 1.59% | -0.69% | -3.01% | -0.64% | -5.97% | -20.09% | -13.18% | 19.91% | 1.58% |
| 2022 | -0.66% | 1.05% | 6.90% | -4.07% | -1.08% | -4.73% | 3.53% | 0.73% | -15.04% | -0.07% | -32.63% | -10.74% |
| 2021 | 1.72% | -7.51% | 2.01% | -0.40% | -6.61% | 0.84% | 7.63% | -1.46% | -4.13% | -3.93% | -3.08% | 6.93% |
| 2020 | 0.69% | -6.05% | 1.85% | -0.10% | -7.84% | 5.30% | -2.16% | 8.13% | 4.45% | 0.74% | 3.92% | |
| Avg | 2.28% | 2.09% | 3.09% | -0.32% | -1.37% | -1.58% | 3.75% | -4.42% | -5.91% | -2.83% | -0.43% | -0.90% |
AQN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years