Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.97% | 4.17% | -10.77% | 1.85% | -3.31% | 17.19% | -9.79% | 2.30% | 3.24% | -5.20% | ||
| 2025 | -6.47% | -3.09% | -17.67% | -1.56% | -4.11% | 11.39% | 2.45% | 16.86% | 2.50% | 0.27% | -5.20% | 1.92% |
| 2024 | -0.53% | 16.93% | 10.78% | 4.17% | -9.21% | -3.60% | 17.62% | -6.32% | 3.67% | -9.19% | 7.32% | -9.88% |
| 2023 | 14.12% | 0.93% | -20.68% | 1.46% | 7.96% | 15.70% | 7.58% | -3.27% | -8.93% | -16.81% | 0.83% | 24.83% |
| 2022 | -2.12% | -4.00% | -13.05% | -10.65% | 0.15% | -13.18% | 18.69% | -11.62% | -10.77% | -4.49% | 3.96% | 8.92% |
| 2021 | 8.39% | 0.88% | 14.76% | 12.65% | -8.72% | 13.81% | -4.23% | 7.80% | -3.47% | 13.11% | 1.14% | 7.02% |
| 2020 | -7.94% | -35.23% | 22.97% | 20.12% | 15.55% | 5.55% | 33.74% | 4.98% | -0.96% | 2.17% | 3.64% | |
| Avg | 3.39% | 1.13% | -10.27% | 4.41% | 0.41% | 8.12% | 5.41% | 5.64% | -1.26% | -3.01% | 1.70% | 6.08% |
Jun is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jun averages +8.1% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.3% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +12.9% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -5.7% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -4.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
ADEN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ADEN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ADEN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ADEN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes