Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Feb averages +20.1% with a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.6% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +18.7% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +18.7% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +44.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.03% | 10.54% | 10.94% | -4.37% | 0.15% | -12.50% | 0.50% | 28.60% | 0.39% | 16.97% | ||
| 2025 | -1.55% | -15.43% | -6.89% | -3.00% | 2.27% | -8.06% | 7.68% | -3.87% | 3.81% | 8.16% | -2.64% | -3.29% |
| 2024 | 32.86% | -6.45% | 2.30% | -1.12% | 4.55% | -3.26% | 2.73% | -2.50% | -3.53% | -0.66% | 7.86% | 0.00% |
| 2023 | -2.38% | -6.50% | -13.91% | -6.06% | -26.88% | -8.82% | 41.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.82% | -10.98% | -4.11% |
| 2022 | 26.32% | 66.67% | -1.25% | -12.66% | 8.70% | -33.33% | 40.00% | -5.71% | 3.03% | 48.53% | 21.78% | 2.44% |
| 2021 | -15.79% | 100.00% | -6.25% | 0.00% | 10.00% | 48.48% | 2.04% | -16.00% | 9.52% | 6.52% | -8.16% | -15.56% |
| 2020 | -8.33% | -59.09% | 11.11% | 20.00% | 50.00% | -16.67% | -6.67% | -21.43% | 9.09% | 41.67% | 11.76% | |
| Avg | 9.25% | 20.07% | -10.59% | -2.30% | 2.68% | 4.64% | 11.17% | -0.88% | -1.17% | 10.80% | 8.25% | -1.46% |
ACX.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ACX.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ACX.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ACX.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes