Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +25.1% with a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -14.1% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +4.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -15.3% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +14.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
ACB.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ACB.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.51% | -5.08% | -12.43% | 1.97% | 6.21% | -20.36% | -1.77% | 45.10% | -1.24% | -1.80% | ||
| 2025 | -13.58% | 39.58% | -14.52% | 1.27% | 13.95% | -20.77% | 6.60% | 20.52% | 12.30% | -16.25% | -7.61% | -10.26% |
| 2024 | -20.00% | -17.88% | 38.88% | 113.32% | -33.44% | -24.94% | 33.86% | -3.43% | -2.57% | -5.28% | -15.25% | -4.38% |
| 2023 | 11.20% | -18.70% | -16.81% | -15.96% | -13.92% | 2.94% | 7.14% | -10.67% | 17.91% | -22.78% | 1.64% | 4.84% |
| 2022 | -22.48% | -9.23% | 3.32% | -21.69% | -45.38% | -20.19% | 6.47% | 17.13% | -20.75% | 16.67% | -11.73% | -27.75% |
| 2021 | 33.77% | -5.08% | -13.15% | -6.33% | 2.65% | -0.09% | -21.99% | 6.85% | -6.30% | -6.39% | 0.00% | -16.57% |
| 2020 | -27.60% | -30.39% | -19.05% | 57.43% | -12.87% | -18.70% | -5.64% | -51.86% | -13.23% | 183.46% | -30.49% | |
| Avg | -2.60% | -6.28% | -6.44% | 7.65% | -1.79% | -13.75% | 1.66% | 9.98% | -7.50% | -7.88% | 25.08% | -14.10% |
ACB.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ACB.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes