Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.52% | 47.86% | -28.51% | 27.72% | 14.55% | -22.31% | -5.10% | 15.68% | -22.28% | -3.77% | ||
| 2025 | 25.21% | 5.12% | 2.92% | 0.00% | 23.66% | 31.38% | 2.14% | 19.39% | 19.90% | -12.75% | 43.53% | 13.26% |
| 2024 | -8.09% | 19.21% | -7.96% | 5.06% | 30.52% | -16.31% | -13.97% | |||||
| Avg | 18.37% | 26.49% | -12.79% | 13.86% | 19.11% | 0.33% | 5.42% | 9.04% | 0.90% | 8.89% | 13.61% | -0.36% |
Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 2Y.
Feb averages +26.5% with a 100% win rate across 2 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -12.8% with only a 50% win rate across 2 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +33.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +32.1% historically, with January alone posting a 100% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 2Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -51.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
ABRA.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
2 years of data
ABRA.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2024 to 2026
ABRA.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
ABRA.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 3 years