Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.66% | 2.85% | -3.88% | 4.61% | 4.33% | 1.92% | -0.91% | 1.75% | -0.49% | -1.12% | ||
| 2025 | 3.65% | -0.57% | -2.59% | -1.94% | 4.33% | 2.92% | 2.05% | 2.01% | 4.07% | 1.93% | 0.77% | -0.41% |
| 2024 | 0.97% | 3.68% | 2.71% | -2.03% | 3.03% | 0.96% | 3.29% | 0.31% | 2.34% | 0.27% | 4.79% | -1.57% |
| 2023 | 5.49% | -1.07% | 1.34% | 1.74% | -1.79% | 2.56% | 2.11% | -0.48% | -3.43% | -1.25% | 6.32% | 3.04% |
| 2022 | -3.53% | -1.89% | 0.55% | -5.13% | -0.46% | -6.26% | 5.61% | -1.94% | -4.17% | 4.06% | 5.54% | -3.12% |
| 2021 | -0.09% | 1.89% | 1.54% | 1.59% | 0.70% | 2.94% | 1.24% | 2.52% | -2.95% | 2.54% | -0.04% | 2.54% |
| 2020 | -5.06% | -9.99% | 8.78% | 3.21% | 1.52% | 2.94% | 2.62% | -0.99% | -2.03% | 8.30% | 1.94% | |
| Avg | 1.36% | -0.02% | -1.47% | 1.09% | 1.91% | 0.94% | 2.33% | 0.97% | -0.80% | 0.92% | 4.28% | 0.40% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.3% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.5% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.1% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +5.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
XGRO.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
XGRO.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
XGRO.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
XGRO.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes