Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.0% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.8% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.1% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +6.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
XEQT.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
XEQT.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.91% | 3.42% | -4.49% | 5.79% | 4.99% | 2.09% | -0.67% | 1.85% | 0.09% | -1.60% | ||
| 2025 | 4.28% | -0.57% | -3.38% | -2.50% | 5.46% | 3.29% | 2.28% | 2.81% | 4.69% | 2.26% | 1.28% | -0.61% |
| 2024 | 1.41% | 4.56% | 3.25% | -2.05% | 3.42% | 0.92% | 3.62% | 0.27% | 2.39% | 0.68% | 5.35% | -1.50% |
| 2023 | 6.06% | -0.78% | 1.14% | 2.07% | -2.03% | 3.23% | 2.94% | -0.63% | -3.73% | -1.48% | 6.79% | 3.03% |
| 2022 | -3.69% | -2.18% | 1.36% | -5.54% | -0.64% | -7.16% | 6.15% | -1.82% | -4.71% | 5.32% | 6.40% | -3.88% |
| 2021 | 0.17% | 3.61% | 1.30% | 2.07% | 0.56% | 3.49% | 1.27% | 3.15% | -3.41% | 3.40% | 0.11% | 2.63% |
| 2020 | -6.74% | -11.67% | 9.96% | 3.68% | 1.82% | 3.41% | 3.30% | -1.23% | -2.81% | 10.29% | 2.41% | |
| Avg | 1.69% | 0.19% | -1.78% | 1.40% | 2.20% | 1.10% | 2.72% | 1.28% | -0.84% | 1.23% | 5.04% | 0.35% |
XEQT.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
XEQT.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes