Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.63% | 7.27% | -1.78% | 5.74% | 2.85% | 5.68% | 3.22% | -2.85% | -0.20% | 2.53% | ||
| 2025 | 1.48% | -1.01% | 0.64% | 0.72% | 5.62% | 2.04% | 0.62% | 3.37% | 2.98% | 1.54% | 4.65% | 3.56% |
| 2024 | 0.11% | -0.18% | 2.09% | -3.34% | 2.40% | -0.39% | 6.42% | 3.90% | 5.69% | 0.16% | 5.05% | -1.92% |
| 2023 | 7.96% | 0.31% | -3.01% | 3.49% | -5.10% | 2.85% | 1.15% | -3.96% | -3.48% | -3.98% | 6.52% | 6.15% |
| 2022 | 4.01% | 0.23% | 0.26% | -5.28% | -0.15% | -7.52% | 3.00% | -2.82% | -4.46% | 3.66% | 5.00% | -3.91% |
| 2021 | 0.40% | 4.82% | 7.30% | 5.27% | 4.74% | 0.63% | 0.84% | 0.70% | -2.67% | 3.59% | -2.16% | 4.62% |
| 2020 | -6.11% | -17.19% | 2.68% | 0.53% | 2.68% | 1.98% | 5.43% | -2.81% | 0.29% | 12.22% | 0.81% | |
| Avg | 2.43% | 0.76% | -1.67% | 1.32% | 1.56% | 0.85% | 2.46% | 0.54% | -0.71% | 0.88% | 5.21% | 1.55% |
XDV.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.2% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.7% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +7.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +1.5% historically, with January alone posting a 100% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +16.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
XDV.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
XDV.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
XDV.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes