Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.8% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.6% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +7.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.8% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +6.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.74% | -0.39% | -3.16% | 7.87% | 6.67% | 2.43% | -1.57% | 1.52% | 1.79% | -1.93% | ||
| 2025 | 4.16% | -2.37% | -6.36% | -4.93% | 5.76% | 4.44% | 3.84% | 1.34% | 4.84% | 3.01% | -0.31% | -1.65% |
| 2024 | 2.62% | 6.23% | 2.94% | -2.79% | 3.54% | 3.57% | 2.77% | -0.36% | 2.39% | 2.27% | 7.45% | -0.75% |
| 2023 | 4.93% | 0.41% | 1.46% | 1.25% | 0.67% | 4.12% | 2.99% | 0.66% | -4.38% | -0.64% | 6.90% | 2.97% |
| 2022 | -5.64% | -2.81% | 1.79% | -6.53% | -1.81% | -7.01% | 9.18% | -1.17% | -4.78% | 6.62% | 3.80% | -5.28% |
| 2021 | 0.13% | 2.73% | 2.08% | 2.79% | -1.38% | 5.32% | 2.30% | 4.01% | -4.07% | 4.25% | 1.68% | 2.68% |
| 2020 | -6.83% | -9.71% | 11.95% | 4.39% | 0.74% | 4.15% | 4.38% | -1.65% | -1.99% | 9.27% | 2.32% | |
| Avg | 1.16% | -0.43% | -1.57% | 1.37% | 2.55% | 1.94% | 3.38% | 1.48% | -0.84% | 2.25% | 4.80% | 0.05% |
VUN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VUN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VUN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VUN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes