Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.3% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.6% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.2% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +5.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.58% | 2.98% | -3.99% | 4.92% | 4.31% | 1.68% | -1.08% | 1.64% | -0.21% | -1.05% | ||
| 2025 | 3.58% | -0.46% | -2.95% | -2.11% | 4.22% | 3.00% | 1.80% | 2.42% | 4.23% | 1.97% | 1.19% | -0.81% |
| 2024 | 0.79% | 3.43% | 2.74% | -1.89% | 2.68% | 1.20% | 3.34% | 0.25% | 2.48% | 0.49% | 4.64% | -1.43% |
| 2023 | 5.47% | -1.17% | 1.32% | 1.76% | -1.94% | 2.64% | 2.25% | -0.55% | -3.62% | -1.12% | 6.19% | 3.15% |
| 2022 | -3.10% | -1.87% | 0.64% | -5.04% | -0.68% | -6.21% | 5.45% | -1.84% | -4.23% | 4.01% | 5.63% | -3.67% |
| 2021 | -0.10% | 1.97% | 1.47% | 1.51% | 0.83% | 2.92% | 0.99% | 2.34% | -2.86% | 2.50% | 0.12% | 2.34% |
| 2020 | -4.68% | -10.59% | 8.67% | 3.14% | 1.66% | 3.29% | 2.06% | -0.92% | -1.94% | 8.12% | 2.11% | |
| Avg | 1.37% | 0.03% | -1.62% | 1.12% | 1.79% | 0.98% | 2.29% | 0.90% | -0.73% | 0.99% | 4.31% | 0.28% |
VGRO.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VGRO.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VGRO.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VGRO.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes