Seasonality
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Seasonality
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VEQT.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.9% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -1.7% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.0% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +6.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.84% | 3.36% | -4.40% | 6.03% | 5.01% | 1.96% | -0.95% | 2.11% | 0.05% | -1.61% | ||
| 2025 | 4.09% | -0.85% | -3.51% | -2.60% | 5.31% | 3.66% | 2.38% | 2.85% | 4.90% | 2.21% | 1.12% | -0.42% |
| 2024 | 1.31% | 4.43% | 3.26% | -1.97% | 3.02% | 1.21% | 3.75% | 0.21% | 2.69% | 0.89% | 5.38% | -1.40% |
| 2023 | 6.11% | -1.12% | 0.95% | 2.12% | -2.07% | 3.29% | 3.02% | -0.72% | -3.76% | -1.42% | 6.81% | 2.92% |
| 2022 | -3.16% | -2.08% | 1.38% | -5.47% | -0.75% | -7.24% | 5.96% | -1.54% | -4.77% | 5.14% | 6.32% | -3.96% |
| 2021 | 0.35% | 2.94% | 2.08% | 1.80% | 0.99% | 3.41% | 0.97% | 2.95% | -3.28% | 3.36% | -0.03% | 2.70% |
| 2020 | -6.98% | -11.76% | 10.08% | 3.69% | 1.87% | 3.78% | 3.01% | -1.34% | -2.37% | 10.02% | 2.40% | |
| Avg | 1.76% | -0.04% | -1.71% | 1.43% | 2.17% | 1.16% | 2.70% | 1.27% | -0.79% | 1.30% | 4.94% | 0.37% |
VEQT.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VEQT.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VEQT.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes