Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.6% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -0.9% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +7.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.2% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +19.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.08% | 6.65% | 0.19% | 6.50% | 2.18% | 5.03% | 3.47% | -2.16% | -1.40% | 3.93% | ||
| 2025 | 1.84% | -0.10% | -0.55% | -0.81% | 5.17% | 2.11% | 2.03% | 5.01% | 4.97% | 0.37% | 4.67% | 2.79% |
| 2024 | -0.27% | 1.42% | 4.35% | -1.95% | 3.22% | -2.35% | 5.95% | 2.70% | 3.49% | 1.05% | 4.86% | -2.42% |
| 2023 | 7.14% | -1.75% | -3.54% | 4.36% | -6.40% | 3.01% | 2.22% | -2.15% | -2.16% | -3.14% | 7.05% | 4.57% |
| 2022 | 5.87% | 1.55% | 2.36% | -3.40% | 2.61% | -8.78% | 2.54% | -2.18% | -4.43% | 5.67% | 3.59% | -4.44% |
| 2021 | 1.51% | 6.06% | 6.94% | 2.76% | 3.95% | 1.78% | -0.95% | 1.30% | 0.65% | 5.21% | -2.09% | 5.04% |
| 2020 | -5.81% | -16.38% | 3.87% | 1.07% | 0.73% | 1.04% | 5.56% | -4.80% | -1.64% | 15.34% | 0.65% | |
| Avg | 3.03% | 1.15% | -0.95% | 1.62% | 1.69% | 0.22% | 2.33% | 1.15% | -0.53% | 1.25% | 5.57% | 1.03% |
VDY.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
VDY.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VDY.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VDY.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes